Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 1.703406 1.962752 2.247999 2.584984 2.972235 3.403365 3.919879
2025-05-11 1.347408 1.688079 2.094555 2.615226 3.264635 4.048254 5.066394
2025-05-18 1.059730 1.427160 1.897460 2.543452 3.408113 4.526384 6.084480
2025-05-25 0.835103 1.198830 1.694183 2.417874 3.448820 4.866219 6.966625
2025-06-01 0.704411 1.070784 1.598242 2.412603 3.639255 5.420503 8.209664
2025-06-08 0.592309 0.948412 1.487588 2.362842 3.749618 5.865699 9.348916
2025-06-15 0.544267 0.913883 1.499890 2.495749 4.148189 6.786269 11.331300
2025-06-22 0.489371 0.858688 1.469728 2.553135 4.429365 7.552683 13.165584
2025-06-29 0.431028 0.788088 1.402862 2.536975 4.581024 8.119206 14.733085
2025-07-06 0.366427 0.696482 1.286507 2.416413 4.530946 8.328231 15.694682
2025-07-13 0.342482 0.675146 1.291184 2.513059 4.881912 9.285266 18.130069
2025-07-20 0.324727 0.662694 1.309859 2.636965 5.297498 10.407552 21.016396
2025-07-27 0.299747 0.633728 1.295485 2.699460 5.611981 11.395847 23.814772
2025-08-03 0.273937 0.599386 1.265985 2.727707 5.862305 12.291964 26.555889
2025-08-10 0.241516 0.546350 1.191132 2.651033 5.884060 12.726952 28.395914
2025-08-17 0.208911 0.488030 1.097029 2.519184 5.767844 12.854927 29.585976
2025-08-24 0.190392 0.458739 1.061969 2.513141 5.928418 13.598661 32.245392
2025-08-31 0.170779 0.424023 1.010029 2.461010 5.976059 14.095990 34.405490
2025-09-07 0.165805 0.423707 1.037305 2.599231 6.489498 15.722305 39.453823
2025-09-14 0.156241 0.410647 1.032543 2.658880 6.820603 16.961090 43.727580
2025-09-21 0.143287 0.387080 0.999006 2.641995 6.958791 17.750831 46.985620
2025-09-28 0.126156 0.350104 0.926988 2.516432 6.802031 17.789232 48.318954
2025-10-05 0.121652 0.346456 0.940155 2.617040 7.252194 19.426284 54.089726